Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 34 · v1

Severe Weather near Big Spring

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 21 May 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 10 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued May 21 at 10:45AM CDT until May 21 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX

Urban PEI: 28,862 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 15 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.81/1
Coordinates32.2165, -101.5157
Nearest CityBig Spring (5 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)28.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-21T15:45:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.600f24dce42f938f4b53e8a63b47b2e8

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-21T15:45:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-21T16:03:17.102Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescAndrews, TX; Mitchell, TX; Coke, TX; Sterling, TX
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued May 21 at 10:45AM CDT until May 21 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX
Expires2026-05-21T13:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Midland/Odessa TX
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.600f24dce42f938f4b53e8a63b47b2e83cfb615f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.12b33830307aa2b2f86096633f4d4ac208b05327.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0a5c782393d62a84e932acd112b339dcbe38f649.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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